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    I see the future as being one in which strong AI
    emerges from whole brain emulation, starting around
    2030 as processing power becomes cheap enough for an
    entire industry to be competing in emulating brains
    the brute force way, building on the academic efforts
    of the 2020s.
Computational power is not sufficient for whole brain emulation. You also need to know how the brain works in a huge amount of detail.

For example, we've had fast enough computers to emulate nematode brains for 20+ years but we are still not able to emulate one and have it learn.



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